Reality or Sophistry? Testing the Technical Analysis for Colombian Shares [¿Realidad o sofisma? Poniendo a prueba el análisis técnico en las acciones colombianas]

Publicado en

  • Cuadernos de Administración

Resumen

  • As the hypothesis of the weak efficiency of the market predicts, empirical evidence of this research supports the supposition that it is not possible to obtain significant and statistically robust economic benefits when implementing investment strategies based on 10 rules of technical analysis (rolling averages, optimised filters and eight Japanese veil strategies) in 19 Colombian shares. Unlike other similar research, this study implements the evidence of investment strategies, and not of self-correlation, and incorporates out-of-sample tests to avoid data snooping, considerations of transaction costs, and estimations of the statistical significance of the profitability of the rules with the use of the bootstrapping method. It should be noted that in some cases the rules present yields in excess of those of the passive strategy, but not in a stable or statistically significant manner.

fecha de publicación

  • 2009

Líneas de investigación

  • Bootstrapping
  • Colombian Equities Market
  • Data Snooping
  • Market Efficiency
  • Simulation
  • Technical Analysis

Página inicial

  • 189

Última página

  • 217

Volumen

  • 22

Issue

  • 38