Understanding the effect of compliance with quarantines and lockdowns on domestic violence occurrence in Bogotá

Serie

• UNDP LAC Working Paper

Resumen

• Quarantines and lockdowns due to COVID-19 have had multiple social effects in terms of family
  isolation, economic uncertainty and general stress that led to a potential increase in domestic
  violence. In Bogotá, Colombia, official reports show an increase of 20.3 percent (2,702 cases) in
  the number of domestic violence reports from January to May 2020, relative to the same period
  in 2019. Information on imposed mobility restrictions and quantified mobility changes is used
  to develop a spatial-temporal domestic violence occurrence prediction model accompanied by
  machine learning interpretation techniques to understand the association of mobility patterns
  with the spatial-temporal behaviour of domestic violence incidents in Bogotá. Additionally,
  different OLS-based regression models are estimated to better understand the relationship
  between the duration of the quarantine lockdown and domestic violence, which was initially
  found to be significant from the predictive spatial-temporal approximation.
  This research is presented as a joint work by researchers from Quantil | Applied Mathematics
  and the Office of Information Analysis and Strategic Studies of the District Secretariat of Security,
  Coexistence and Justice for Bogotá. These institutions have previously worked together as
  part of a research project funded by Colciencias on crime prediction models for robberies and
  homicides in Bogotá.

Grupo Temático

• Economía e Inteligencia Artificial  Group

autores

• Rodríguez Díaz, Paula
• Gómez, Oscar
• Newball-Ramírez, Douglas
• García, Johan
• Moreno, Juan Sebastián
• Riascos, Álvaro
• Castro, John David
• Panqueva, Jose David

fecha de publicación

• 2022

Área temática

• C21 - Modelos de sección cruzada; Modelos espaciales; Modelos de efecto de tratamiento; Regresiones cuantiles
• C23 - Modelos uniecuacionales; variables simples: Modelos con datos de panel; Modelos espacio-temporales
• J12 - Nupcialidad; Disolución de matrimonios; Estructura familiar; Violencia doméstica
• J18 - Economía demográfica: Política pública

Enfoque geográfico

• Colombia  Country
• South America  Continent

Líneas de investigación

• COVID-19
• Domestic violence
• lockdown
• mobility data

Issue

• 31