An Estimation of the Pattern of Diffusion of Mobile Phones: The Case of Colombia

In this paper we found that the diffusion pattern of mobile telephony in Colombia can be best characterized as following a Logistic curve. Although in recent years the rate of growth of mobile phone subscribers has started to slow down, we find evidence that there is still room for further expansion as the saturation level is expected to be reached in five years’ time. The estimated saturation level is consistent with some individuals possessing more than one mobile device.

Blogs Publicados