A Simulation Model for the Colombian Pension System

Serie

  • Documentos CEDE

Resumen

  • This article presents the CEDE Pension Model, a microsimulation tool designed to project key variables of Colombia’s pension system. The model integrates administrative data, household surveys, and institutional parameters to simulate labor histories using Markov chains and to project the number of older adults who will receive pension benefits through 2100. Its design enables the evaluation of policy options for old-age economic protection, highlighting trade-offs across coverage, equity and progressivity, adequacy, and fiscal sustainability.

fecha de publicación

  • 2025

Líneas de investigación

  • Colombia
  • Social protection
  • pensions
  • simulation

Issue

  • 2025-31