Agricultural Production Amid Conflict: Separating the Effects of Conflict into Shocks and Uncertainty

Publicado en

  • World Development


  • This paper examines the effect of conflict on agricultural production of small farmers. First, an inter-temporal model of agricultural production is developed in which the impact of conflict is transmitted through violent shocks and uncertainty brought about by conflict. We test the model using a unique household survey applied to 4800 households in four micro-regions of Colombia. Our findings suggest households learn to live amid conflict, albeit at a lower income trajectory. When presence of non-state armed actors prolongs, farmers shift to activities with short-term yields and lower profitability from activities that require high investments. If violence intensifies in regions with presence of non-state armed actors, farmers concentrate on subsistence activities.

fecha de publicación

  • 2019

Líneas de investigación

  • Agricultural Production
  • Conflict
  • Developing Economies
  • Small-Farmers
  • Uncertainty

Página inicial

  • 165

Última página

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