Forecasting retail fuel prices with spatial interdependencies

Publicado en

  • Economics Letters

Resumen

  • This paper forecasts station-level retail fuel prices using econometric methods, incorporating spatial interdependencies. Error correction models with cross-sectional dependence outperform autoregressive models with wholesale prices or spatial effects, demonstrating the benefits of spatial interdependencies in terms of improved forecasting performance.

fecha de publicación

  • 2025

Líneas de investigación

  • Cointegration
  • Forecasting
  • Petrol price
  • Spatial

Volumen

  • 247